Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.254698 3.811368 4.404311 5.079784 5.824817 6.618452 7.524701
2024-10-20 2.449410 3.211847 4.085398 5.146831 6.388190 7.781073 9.448887
2024-10-27 1.819412 2.670174 3.715810 5.063172 6.720960 8.663061 11.078316
2024-11-03 1.455106 2.370177 3.567866 5.190298 7.270953 9.792623 13.020767
2024-11-10 1.167965 2.108853 3.416776 5.271475 7.738477 10.816536 14.853400
2024-11-17 0.892397 1.804111 3.155197 5.162213 7.929185 11.478602 16.239981
2024-11-24 0.674248 1.536810 2.901607 5.023287 8.049148 12.031156 17.482929
2024-12-01 0.527203 1.351441 2.738843 4.986145 8.287707 12.728614 18.913839
2024-12-08 0.405877 1.180582 2.570947 4.916878 8.463429 13.333436 20.225319
2024-12-15 0.355118 1.135171 2.601439 5.146745 9.070267 14.532742 22.344748
2024-12-22 0.286263 1.032170 2.516658 5.182512 9.386288 15.332586 23.938900
2024-12-29 0.258208 1.015091 2.582430 5.462197 10.072031 16.660594 26.270525
2025-01-05 0.223750 0.975307 2.604932 5.677490 10.678688 17.908383 28.542707
2025-01-12 0.182710 0.904752 2.558640 5.771417 11.100738 18.903551 30.488805
2025-01-19 0.135612 0.796408 2.419717 5.690984 11.242235 19.493697 31.880411
2025-01-26 0.112292 0.752484 2.408471 5.833961 11.739931 20.610405 34.026500
2025-02-02 0.090009 0.700741 2.371636 5.924511 12.151662 21.604699 36.011239
2025-02-09 0.062696 0.610186 2.230644 5.807053 12.213441 22.074944 37.253134
2025-02-16 0.041138 0.523368 2.080773 5.656667 12.208263 22.437657 38.339988
2025-02-23 0.028242 0.465600 1.991924 5.616557 12.383395 23.072940 39.826159
2025-03-02 0.018056 0.408006 1.890973 5.541369 12.491128 23.602411 41.161670
2025-03-09 0.015512 0.405624 1.944954 5.791275 13.173211 25.033361 43.839094
2025-03-16 0.010571 0.372019 1.901404 5.830156 13.481846 25.884856 45.670753